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CAPITAL CITY BANK GROUP INC (CCBG)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2025 delivered stronger profitability: diluted EPS rose to $0.93, up 5.7% sequentially and 20.8% YoY, driven by net interest margin expansion to 4.34% and higher noninterest income .
  • Versus S&P Global consensus, EPS beat by ~7.3% while revenue was modestly below by ~0.4% (S&P revenue definition)*. The EPS beat was supported by lower funding costs and securities yield lift, while revenue softness reflects lower loan income on smaller balances .
  • Credit costs ticked up: provision increased to $1.9M and net charge-offs annualized at 0.18% as nonperforming assets rose to 0.23% of total assets; allowance coverage improved to 1.17% .
  • Capital and TBV strengthened: tangible book value per diluted share rose 4.0% QoQ to $26.38; CET1 reached 17.73% and total risk-based capital 20.59%, supporting dividend policy and balance sheet resilience .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Net interest margin expanded 4 bps QoQ to 4.34% with cost of funds down to 78 bps; September NIM at 4.41% underscores momentum .
  • Noninterest income grew 11.6% QoQ (+$2.3M) on mortgage banking (+$0.6M), deposit fees (+$0.6M), and other income (+$1.2M) including a $0.7M gain from the sale of the insurance subsidiary .
  • Management tone confident: “highlighted by an above-peer ROA of 1.47% and ROE of 11.67%… Revenue growth driven by continued net interest margin expansion and higher noninterest income… we are in a position of strength” .

What Went Wrong

  • Loan balances declined: loans HFI fell $49.5M QoQ (-1.9% EOP) with notable declines in construction, CRE, consumer and residential real estate loans .
  • Credit metrics mixed: NPAs increased to $10.0M (0.23% of assets) and nonaccrual loans rose by $1.7M QoQ, driven partly by two home equity loans totaling $1.8M .
  • Seasonal deposit pressure: total deposits down $89.9M QoQ (-2.4%) EOP due to public fund seasonality, though core deposit balances were stable-to-improving .

Financial Results

Reported performance (GAAP and operating metrics)

MetricQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
Diluted EPS ($)$0.77 $0.88 $0.93
Net Interest Income ($M)$40.211 $43.184 $43.557
Noninterest Income ($M)$19.513 $20.014 $22.331
Provision for Credit Losses ($M)$1.206 $0.620 $1.881
Net Interest Margin (%)4.12% 4.30% 4.34%
ROA (annualized, %)1.24% 1.38% 1.47%
ROE (annualized, %)10.87% 11.44% 11.67%
Efficiency Ratio (%)71.81% 67.26% 65.09%
Avg Total Deposits ($B)$3.572 $3.681 $3.612

Noninterest income mix

Component ($M)Q3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
Deposit Fees$5.512 $5.320 $5.877
Bank Card Fees$3.624 $3.774 $3.733
Wealth Mgmt Fees$4.770 $5.206 $5.173
Mortgage Banking$3.966 $4.190 $4.794
Other Income$1.641 $1.524 $2.754 (includes ~$0.7M gain on insurance subsidiary sale)

Key KPIs and balance sheet quality

KPIQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
Cost of Funds (%)0.93% 0.82% 0.78%
Allowance as % Loans HFI (%)1.11% 1.13% 1.17%
NPAs as % Total Assets (%)0.17% 0.15% 0.23%
Tangible BV/ Diluted Share ($)$22.60 $25.37 $26.38
CET1 Ratio (%)14.88% 16.81% 17.73%
Total Risk-Based Capital (%)17.97% 19.60% 20.59%

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Effective Tax RateFY 2025≈24% (as communicated in Q1/Q2 2025) ≈24% (absent discrete items/new credits) Maintained
Quarterly DividendQ3 2025$0.24 per share (Q2 2025) $0.26 per share (declared Aug 28, 2025) Raised
Revenue, Margins, OpEx, OI&EFY/QuarterNot providedNot provided

Note: No formal quantitative revenue/margin/OpEx guidance was provided; management highlighted expectation for tax rate only .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Transcript was not available in the research corpus; conference call occurred Oct 21, 2025, 10:00AM ET (schedule reference) .

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2 2025)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
Net Interest Margin trajectoryNIM up to 4.22% (Q1) and 4.30% (Q2) on higher securities yields and lower deposit costs NIM expanded to 4.34%; September NIM 4.41%; cost of funds down 4 bps QoQ Improving
Deposit mix & public funds seasonalityPublic funds seasonality boosted Q1; declined in Q2; core deposits grew Deposits down QoQ (-2.4% EOP) due to seasonal public fund decline; core deposits offset partially Seasonal headwind; core stable
Credit qualityLower net charge-offs and NPAs in Q1; NPAs rose modestly in Q2 NPAs rose to 0.23% of assets; allowance ratio up to 1.17%; NCOs at 0.18% (annualized) Mixed (higher NPAs, stronger reserve)
Mortgage banking & fee momentumMortgage banking improved on production and gain on sale; wealth mgmt fee strength Mortgage banking +$0.6M QoQ; deposit fees +$0.6M; wealth mgmt stable YoY Improving
Capital strengthCET1 up; TCE ratio improving through year CET1 17.73%, TRC 20.59%; TBV/share +4% QoQ Strengthening
LiquidityElevated overnight funds; access to diverse funding ~$1.625B additional liquidity (excluding overnight funds); portfolio duration ~2.15 yrs Strong

Management Commentary

  • “We are pleased to share another strong report for the third quarter of 2025, highlighted by an above-peer ROA of 1.47% and ROE of 11.67%… Revenue growth driven by continued net interest margin expansion and higher noninterest income drove the improvement and resulted in a 4% increase in tangible book value per share. We are in a position of strength and look forward to finishing the year strong and continued momentum in 2026.” — William G. Smith, Jr., Chairman & CEO .
  • On drivers: net interest income increased on higher investment securities income and lower interest expense; deposit rate reductions and higher yield purchases supported NIM .
  • On tax rate: “Absent discrete items or new tax credit investments, we expect our annual effective tax rate to approximate 24% for 2025.” .

Q&A Highlights

  • The Q3 2025 earnings call transcript was not available in the research set; call was scheduled for Oct 21, 2025, 10:00AM ET .
  • No additional Q&A clarifications can be cited; all commentary herein reflects press release and 8-K disclosures .

Estimates Context

Performance versus S&P Global consensus (S&P definitions; “Revenue” reflects S&P revenue methodology)*

MetricQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
EPS Consensus ($)0.77*0.78667*0.86667*
EPS Actual ($)0.78*0.88*0.93*
EPS Surprise (%)+1.3%*+11.8%*+7.3%*
Revenue Consensus ($M)58.70*62.35*64.30*
Revenue Actual ($M)58.52*62.58*64.01*
Revenue Surprise (%)-0.31%*+0.37%*-0.45%*

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Implications: Expect upward EPS estimate revisions into Q4 given recurring NIM lift and fee momentum; small revenue miss in Q3 (S&P definition) is driven by lower loan balances offset by securities/fees, and may not impede EPS trajectories given operating leverage .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • EPS beat and NIM momentum: Continued margin expansion and lower funding costs are key upside drivers; watch yield on securities and deposit pricing discipline for sustainability .
  • Fee income diversification: Mortgage banking and deposit fees are contributing meaningfully; monitor gain-on-sale margins and ongoing fee adjustments for carry-through into Q4 .
  • Credit watchlist: Nonperforming assets increased; however, reserve coverage and allowance ratios improved—credit cost normalization is a manageable headwind at current levels .
  • Balance sheet resiliency: CET1 at 17.73% and TBV/share +4% QoQ provide optionality for dividend continuity and growth; dividend was raised to $0.26 in Q3 .
  • Deposit seasonality: Expect continued public fund seasonality into Q4; core deposit trends remain an anchor—track mix and cost trajectory .
  • Near-term trading: EPS beat and capital strength are supportive; any weakness tied to higher NPAs or seasonal deposit declines likely transitory if NIM/fees persist .
  • Medium-term thesis: A fortress capital base, improving NIM, and diversified fee streams position CCBG for steady ROA/ROE delivery, contingent on disciplined credit and deposit cost management .

Appendix: Additional Relevant Press Releases

  • Q3 earnings announcement timing (Oct 14, 2025) .
  • Dividend increase to $0.26 per share (Aug 28, 2025) .
  • Post-quarter leadership appointment (Nov 4, 2025) .